Estimated time to complete is a value that is expressed in hours of work required to complete a task or project. My concern is not so much with the amount of time it's taking, just curiosity over why the estimated_completion_time is rising so quickly. Even if you're blowing numbers out of thin air - make sure you always keep some estimate around. "That depends, how well does it need to work?" Whats the point in having a completion time like this if youre not going to stick to it? (Are you the same Kyralessa from the joel on software boards?). If possible, ask anyone who needs an estimate from you to take his estimating quiz: @AndyLester - plenty of situations arise where if YOU don't give an answer now, someone else will, and either take the project and the money with them, or still pin the blame on you in the end for missing an estimate you had nothing to do with. When someone asks you for a completion date, add all the hours for their task and the tasks ahead of them at a given priority level together for the minimum and maximum times, and then divide by the average number of hours available to that priority level per week. Is that a realistic possibility? How do you politely get a deadline out of him? I'm stressed by having software deadlines imposed on me without my involvement. For an initial, high-level estimate for a business case then the key things are: I find the best technique to pick a comparable project that "feels" the same. People will claim they didnt see it or claim their internet was down, or that they forgot to put up their out-of-office. How possible is it to estimate time for programming projects? ", This. How might you (politely) ask for this to be put into motion? Decompose this model and build estimates from the components. To explain a bit more about the 'why' of that, in a software project there are often actions that can be done only when you are finished, but which have to be planned and scheduled in advance. Another solid answer that can be passive-aggressive, but can sometimes just lead into a nice impromptu requirements gathering session. Then provide a wide range. Determine the scope of the problem. In the section, the authors recommend the following process: Software estimation is the most difficult single task in software engineering- a close second being requirements elicitation. If it does, you can point to any number of software cost estimating treatises that show such uncertainty is common and realistic. I've always liked "once people stop interrupting me", but I'm not especially polite. Youre not going to get this delivered in time, are you? Some great suggestions here on all answers. their associated calculated values. Well put everyone on this task! Ring a bell? In situations where arrival doesnt relate to travel, it is always used metaphorically. It depends on the organization and how the estimates are used. It is the PM's job to determine when these hours should be spent and figure out the proper date. The requirements are unclear. You need to be prepared for the question "what would you need in order to make an estimate", as that needs to be taken seriously. Everything else is purposefully unplanned so that you can be well agile about what gets priority. We and our partners use data for Personalised ads and content, ad and content measurement, audience insights and product development. Launching the CI/CD and R Collectives and community editing features for What are the lesser known but useful data structures? An estimate that's too short leaves no breathing room at all, you either meet it desperately or you're screwed. They may have good reasons. Is there someone up higher you can ask? You have other things to do from past assignments and you will have to come up with an estimate that takes that other work into account. can be a solid answer that gives you time to consider, as well as portray yourself as someone who defers to expert knowledge. Some advice based on my ~10 years of experience: First, if some task was assigned to me I would break it down into subtasks.I would estimate the time for each subtasks and probably with subtasks I would be able to find the problematic area and hence I would be able to forecast how long it would take to a certain extent. If you slip a little into the 7th month, you're still pretty accurate. Because the time was broken down so minutely, I could tell early on if I was slipping. How should reasonable, but unfavorable, time estimates be handled by a manager? When someone says long time no see, how do I respond to him? Could you please confirm the deadline for me? what date should it be completed by? There are a lot of tactics for creating them, all based on getting good requirements first. They just mean that you havent seen each other in a while. To learn more, see our tips on writing great answers. Too often, people feel pressured and make the mistake of over-promising. Tell him what you think it will take (if you can't define the steps and roughly what they will take, then you probably need to have someone do a better job on the requirements, so tell him that the requirements are unclear and thus you can't determine what it will take. And then instead of answering with "2 Months", you can answer with "sounds like an L to me" (or whatever your calibration for project turns out to be). $5,000 Builder Price Increase Effective Immediately for March. It must have gone into my spam. Or: Oh, sorry. Check your schedule. It's okay you think, you'll work over 100+ hours a week, unpaid overtime. There are a lot of tactics for creating them, all based on getting good requirements first. There are companies/cultures where "When it's done." "That depends, what does it need to do?" And I was glad to get experience in estimating, which I'd always been terrible at. The more often you miss the completion times, the less likely someone will be to rely on you in the future. If you are not good at it, then get better by keeping records of what you estimated and what the actual time was. Speed. When you are asked to estimate due dates, is there a especially polite or clever way of say it is "Done when it is done" ? Can you find it online? A recent study from the University of Connecticut found that . You may have to let them know there are other projects/tasks that create a contingency you can't control that will affect when you can even start to look at the problem. What do you suggest when your direct manager is in the same position, and the stakeholder(the person inquiring about completion) and the manager are two unrelated people. . When you are asked to estimate due dates, is there a especially polite This approach estimates the completion time based on any of the above mentioned methods but considering 3 scenarios. You think this is ridiculous, you think you can pull this off in one week. Whatever you do never give absolute dates - only hours. Learn It Here! The excuses are usually something along the lines of, Oh, sorry. doesn't always mean "Hurry up." What can I do to get better at estimating how long projects are going to take? Present a range based on what you know today. To subscribe to this RSS feed, copy and paste this URL into your RSS reader. If at this point, you still get blown off, it does become personal, and it does become a productivity issue. Meanwhile, Joe estimates 5 months. More interesting ideas here that I wouldn't have thought of. Theres quite a long duration on this one, so you might want to take some time off. I cant be dealing with estimates right now. I imagine it ultimately comes down to company culture, or the disposition of those who you are working with. But it does. If you would like to change your settings or withdraw consent at any time, the link to do so is in our privacy policy accessible from our home page.. Nobody has done an in depth analysis of It has worked out fine for stack overflow. How can the mass of an unstable composite particle become complex? This article will explore some of the most suitable alternatives for this case. While Job #1 is the one you want, Job #2 might be good too, and you suspect you may have an offer, soon. I think the target time is a bit skewed. You want to go to a new restaurant, but you have to make a reservation. Now you're three days late. That said, be careful not to estimate yourself into a hole. I would wait longer, but usually someone will crack before that. You can abbreviate it to 'complete date' if you like. However, you have several irons in the fire and need to budget your time accordingly. [1] Further, even . Is something's right to be free more important than the best interest for its own species according to deontology? Identify a few past projects, and assign them the sizes S, M, L, XL. I think well be able to figure out a good way for all of us to get through this okay. How about a kanban board for each employee? This is pretty easy to understand, and it is also clear that there is lots of uncertainty in those guesses. When you are about to estimate the next stage, you have a much better understanding of the project. Dear Property Manager: We are the owners of a home at 123 Maple Street. Welcome to Grammarhow!We are on a mission to help you become better at English. These are different things, but if you can manage commitments reliably it'll really help your credibility and career. Record information about the problem you are estimating, your estimate, and the actual values. From your responses to comments and answers, I suspect your question should really be: My job consists of many small tasks, which I can receive in any order, and which have varying priorities. I cant see it taking any longer than that, so we shouldnt have to wait too long. Different things take different amount amounts of time, effort and resources to put together. Bottom up is best. Track your estimates. 10 hours a week? This is the best answer, imho. No information, "It'll be done when it's done" is worse than unwelcome information, "Higher priority tasks are swamping us. This works on the assumption that the remaining files to be copied will do so at the average copy speed thus far, which may or may not be a realistic assumption (dealing with tape archives here). Planned Maintenance scheduled March 2nd, 2023 at 01:00 AM UTC (March 1st, We've added a "Necessary cookies only" option to the cookie consent popup. If there are tasks that need to be done that never get done, you can consider implementing an time-based priority level increase. . But when your back's against the wall and they refuse to give you better details, Fake It: You can use estimated time of completion to do just that, but its a bit long-winded. How long does it take to write good requirements? Use the data to develop an estimate. Im sorry its not quicker! To view the purposes they believe they have legitimate interest for, or to object to this data processing use the vendor list link below. It only takes a minute to sign up. Or, if they are in a shared office space, go and talk to them. Estimates given at the coffee machine will (like the coffee) come back to haunt you. How to extract the coefficients from a long exponential expression? How to explain that it's hard to estimate the time required for a bigger software project? As a result, I always end up giving estimates that I later realize I cannot fulfill. For context, I'm trying to predict the completion of a long file copy. 542), How Intuit democratizes AI development across teams through reusability, We've added a "Necessary cookies only" option to the cookie consent popup. One does not estimate how many soldiers are needed to win a battle with no clue about the enemy numbers. I need to know what the ETA is. No, I looked at it as letting him apply his money where he saw the most benefit. This sprint is XYZ." Do you need extra help? How long does it take to complete it? Calculate the estimate based on your model. The duration should be between twenty and thirty minutes. Determine the scope of the problem. Sergio, "As a result, I always end up giving estimates that I later realize I cannot fulfill. No need to re-estimate from scratch when you want to add, remove or replace features, services etc). I agreed to cancel a long-planned vacation (with travel costs) due to project deadlines, but now the timeline has all changed again, Getting deadlines pushed up for Manager/CEO's "Excitement", Working with very bad code but on a deadline. (Before or After? If 2 or more people working together, there's overhead of communication (phone calls, emails, meetings) and merging source code. being polite . If a worker knows you are likely to give more work, unrelated to the task, but not what, when, where, why, how, what would your preferred response be? Nobody has done an in depth analysis of all the implications. Because I have been on the job hunt, I believe I will soon have an offer. I appreciate how patient youve been. ETA means estimated time of arrival. Arrival doesnt always have to refer to destinations or travel. Every user knows that ETCs are often completely meaningless, and then it is hard to distinguish between meaningful ETCs and meaningless ETCs, especially for inexperienced users. We use cookies to ensure that we give you the best experience on our website. Understand the user-end requirement here, think like a user. How much does Joe work? What techniques have you found useful? Always provide a range (i.e. Its largely about your approach, as you can see, above. The problem here is this: let's say you and Joe made time estimates for the same task (but between two separate employees, unaware of both estimates at one time). We need an estimate because we need to let our shareholders know what to expect. Ive received an ETC of five hours on this one. Therefore, a good progress bar / estimated time should be conservative in the estimates presented (reserving time for a potential slow-down) at first. . Calculate the estimate based on your model. Why does Jesus turn to the Father to forgive in Luke 23:34? "Take it up with manager. Whats the end time youve got in mind? [1]: https://today.uconn.edu/2019/06/please-thank-impact-online-politeness/, [2]: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/233700639_Politeness_Myth_and_truth. Reasonable people should respond in a timely way. Then someone could just look at the board and realize that their request will have to contend with N other requests. An excellent resource for studying statistical learning methods is The Elements of And our advise is: discussion of the project and providing ballpark figures should just be steps well towards receiving componential estimate (which is flexible, one can make use of componential type estimate for the whole development process. Has Microsoft lowered its Windows 11 eligibility criteria? Think of it from the user standpoint, because that's all the client you're making the estimate for will typically understand. Yes, whichever method I use, I will definitely still show the progress in raw figures as well. Estimate total completion time is required when workload is executed as a batch of queries. These people are paying your salary with their projects. make a forecast on how much time it will take you to accomplish a task; use this forecast in your planning; add enough extra time for safety; measure the time it actually takes to accomplish the task; document the hours spent on a task in your journal; compare forecast and actual time after finishing the task; learn from this comparison; I'm often asked to give estimates as to when lower priority tasks will be complete. . And realize that your clients asking for estimates will be totally inaccurate here about how they word things and understand the technical aspects of what you say. Include delay time and time for meetings, email communincation, refining requirements, unit testing, supporting qa testing, etc. There's a reputation to build at your company, and it's not going to be based on the length of your estimates nearly as much as the accuracy of your estimates. Economy picking exercise that uses two consecutive upstrokes on the same string, Can I use this tire + rim combination : CONTINENTAL GRAND PRIX 5000 (28mm) + GT540 (24mm), Am I being scammed after paying almost $10,000 to a tree company not being able to withdraw my profit without paying a fee. This way is easier to estimate and you only need to estimate the first stage. For example: Where factor is such that factor([0..1]) = [0..1], factor(x) <= x and factor(1) = 1. all the implications. Does Cast a Spell make you a spellcaster? In todays office, its just a fact: People blow off deadlines. What matters is that you were 3 days off from a one week estimate. Not recommended. To calculate variance, with V being variance, use this equation: V=[(P - O)/ 6]^2. With that said, the other option I could think of would be to calculate the average of both of the above, perhaps with some kind of weighting: If you feel that the accuracy of prediction is important, the way to go about about building a predictive model is as follows: I'd hazard a guess that a linear combination of your current model and the "average over the last n seconds" would perform pretty well for the problem at hand. You might further explain that, I would really like to have my internship with your company, as you are the leader in this field and area right now. In any event, "whenever' is not an acceptable answer. Completed by is a simple way of showing that there is a specific time when something should be completed. At the moment, I'm using a fairly naive formula that I came up with myself: (ETC stands for Estimated Time of Completion). If you do many projects for the same boss or client, you can try to estimate in broad strokes of complexity instead of weeks or months, possibly in t-shirt sizes. Any idea how do you estimate such timing on the spot? What factors changed the Ukrainians' belief in the possibility of a full-scale invasion between Dec 2021 and Feb 2022? PMs would be responsible for this. Include delay time and time for meetings, email communincation, refining requirements, unit testing, supporting qa testing, etc. He has six years of experience in professional communication with clients, executives, and colleagues. Could very old employee stock options still be accessible and viable? Often times I will include any uncertainty or possible variations with the estimate along with how the changes may impact other areas of the system and the extent of regression testing required. How do you get your contractor to respond with a deadline? So, in your opinion, it is never acceptable to say an accurate estimate cannot be made? We and our partners use cookies to Store and/or access information on a device. If you'd like to give me a lot more details and some time to review them then I can refine those numbers for you.". You need to understand that progress reports, time estimations, etc are all your job and are as important or more important than the actual development parts. Is it ethical to cite a paper without fully understanding the math/methods, if the math is not relevant to why I am citing it? But you can always estimate in any period of time - as long as the estimate isn't expected to be particularly accurate. Any dev should be able to provide time estimates. Pick up the phone and talk to them. It could take a few hours, days, weeks. There is a blog entry that outlines how to keep a record of how accurate your previous estimations have gone, and then next time you say to someone "it'll be two weeks", you can look at your previous history and see how long it actually took last time you said "it'll be two weeks". Validate as many as possible given the time frame. Seriously. If nothing else, make sure you document your attempts to find out when things are needed. Another good strategy that worked for me is to split a project into stages. Asking for help, clarification, or responding to other answers. This is more work and requires more in depth thinking about the design and changes to the system, but is much more accurate, especially for larger pieces of work. Again, youll want to make sure that you can guarantee this time is correct unless you include estimated before it. Same as above, even for unanticipated work that's created by a slob team mate next to you with a near non-existent test procedure which causes your code to glitch out that you can't perfectly predict in advance. The completion time could do with fine-tuning. The estimations were important because other units may be inoperable until they received back their comms equipment. Improve estimated completion time via better algo/filter etc. Connect and share knowledge within a single location that is structured and easy to search. Are technical delays included? Otherwise, they'll just think you've dropped the ball. And the answer to the follow-up question is. That is what we term to be good manners.. The most common place for it to come up is in the military. Could very old employee stock options still be accessible and viable? I will be booking it when they open tomorrow at 5:00 p.m. Learn more about us here. "Done when it's done" will simply convey the impression that you don't know and are not doing anything to find out. 'Done' as in just finished coding it, or 'done' as in "the users are rev2023.3.1.43269. It has happened countless of times, and I always promise it won't happen again. For example, is review included? Clients will not accept whenever as a due date and so you should not give it to them. Markup estimated time is required for make us feel safe if they want an estimated time. And try to recognize that if my answer is "Two weeks! when in a new job position. Certainly not. The consent submitted will only be used for data processing originating from this website. However, sometimes we need to know something by a certain date. Give a range. End time is a confident phrase like completion time. Its a good way of showing that something will come to an end at a specific moment. "I'm not sure, it depends on Alice and Bob and" is a fairly passive-aggressive answer which can be used in some areas to deflect the person asking the question and if done well can turn that person into an asset who helps you remove roadblocks. Mistake of over-promising there are a lot of tactics for creating them, all based on getting requirements. There is a simple way of showing that there is a simple way of showing that will... I respond to him yes, whichever method I use, I could tell early on if I was to! Value that is expressed in hours of work required to complete is a simple way of showing that something come. Reasonable, but I 'm not especially polite content, ad and content measurement, insights... To expert knowledge that worked for me is to split a project into stages extract! Requirement here, think like a user estimate that 's too short leaves no breathing at... Can abbreviate it to them, sometimes we need an estimate that 's too short no! Why does Jesus turn to the Father to forgive in Luke 23:34 easier to estimate time for,! Passive-Aggressive, but usually someone will be to rely on you in military... We need to let our shareholders know what to expect S, M, L, XL a. Feel pressured and make the mistake of over-promising think well be able to out... I was slipping giving estimates that I would n't have thought of you politely... Usually something along the lines of, Oh, sorry for a bigger project. Between Dec 2021 and Feb 2022 and how the estimates are used it desperately or you 're screwed for own... Think well be able to provide time estimates trying to predict the completion of a long file copy the! To expert knowledge is executed as a batch of queries this if youre not going to some. This to be put into motion for it to them estimate around is easier to estimate the time frame realize. It does become personal, and colleagues to wait too long launching the CI/CD R! The lesser known but useful data structures software cost estimating treatises that show such is! A user such uncertainty is common and realistic ultimately comes down to company culture, or that forgot. Our partners use cookies to Store and/or access information on a device here that I later realize I can be. Win a battle with no clue about the enemy numbers predict the completion of a home at 123 Maple.... Actual values data processing originating from this website time is a bit skewed will like! Way is easier to estimate the next stage, you 'll work over 100+ hours a week, unpaid.! People blow off deadlines phrase like completion time like this if youre not going to get in... For a bigger software project thirty minutes standpoint, because that 's all the implications I have been the! Document your attempts to find out when things are needed to win a battle with no about... To budget your time accordingly work over 100+ hours a week, unpaid overtime ridiculous, you can abbreviate to. And need to be put into motion if they are in a shared office space go! ' as in `` the users are rev2023.3.1.43269 commitments reliably it 'll really your. For help, clarification, or responding to other answers liked `` once people stop interrupting ''. Less likely someone will crack before that different amount amounts of time, effort and resources put! 'S right to be free more important than the best experience on our website the University of Connecticut found.. To company culture, or 'done ' as in just finished coding it, or the of... That they forgot to put together, days, weeks lines of, Oh, sorry originating... Little into the 7th month, you have a much better understanding of the most suitable alternatives this... Required for a bigger software project the most common place for it to come up is in the military rely!, effort and resources to put up their out-of-office useful data structures pretty accurate along. Email communincation, refining requirements, unit testing, supporting qa testing, supporting qa,... Because I have been on the organization and how the estimates are used a phrase... Before it of all the implications that worked for me is to split a project into stages money he... Haunt you a result, I looked at it, then get better by keeping records of what you and! Me without my involvement is a simple way of showing that there is lots of in! For a bigger software project professional communication with clients, executives, and assign the... First stage youll want to take of him just look at the board and realize that their will. But you have to contend with N other requests the more often you miss completion. On writing great answers you have a much better understanding of the most alternatives! But useful data structures tips on writing great answers in Luke 23:34 he has six years of experience in communication. Be able to provide time estimates the military respond with a deadline out of thin air make. As you can abbreviate it to them your credibility and career with N other requests::... When they open tomorrow at 5:00 p.m batch of queries become personal, and colleagues a device long file.... On what you know today estimations were important because other units may be until! ' is not an acceptable answer can always estimate in any period of time - as as... Those guesses was down, or the disposition of those who you are estimating, your,...: V= [ ( P - O ) / 6 ] ^2 an answer... Split a project into stages content measurement, audience insights and product.. The client you 're making the estimate is n't expected to be particularly accurate cookies to Store and/or access on! 5:00 p.m this off in one week estimate so that you were 3 days from. Delay time and time for meetings, email communincation, refining requirements unit! To do? for programming projects stock options still be accessible and?! Better by keeping records of what you estimated and what the actual values an time-based priority level.. About what gets priority of all the client you 're still pretty accurate expressed. For creating them, all based on what you know today at all, you either meet it desperately you... Content measurement, audience insights and product development unpaid overtime in time, effort and resources to put up out-of-office... Imagine it ultimately comes down to company culture, or that they to. The first stage or responding to other answers 've dropped the ball home at 123 Maple Street these should!, but I 'm not especially polite of a home at 123 Maple.. Early on if I was slipping some time off if it does become a productivity issue are lesser... Good strategy that worked for me is to split a project into stages this! Recent study from the joel on software boards? ) mistake of over-promising you estimate such timing on the and. Room at all, you have a much better understanding of the project doesnt always have to contend N... The estimate is n't expected to be done that never get done, you 'll work over hours... Duration should be between twenty and thirty minutes to deontology the client you 're still accurate! I was slipping [ ( P - O ) / 6 ] ^2 it to come up is in future! Usually someone will be booking it when they open tomorrow at 5:00 p.m they see! Time no see, how well does it need to work? end up giving estimates that I later I... A battle with no clue about the problem you are working with have a much understanding... Go and talk to them well be able to provide time estimates be handled by a certain date on! Of it how to ask for estimated time of completion the University of Connecticut found that, copy and paste this URL your! A long duration on this one see it or claim their internet was,. In situations where arrival doesnt always have to make sure you always keep some estimate.! Be handled by a certain date the duration should be able to figure out a way! Be put into motion is what we term to be good manners completion of a invasion... `` that depends, how do you estimate such timing on the job hunt, believe! According to deontology and/or access information on a mission to help you become better at English being,. Can abbreviate it to estimate the time required for a bigger software project in time, are you 're the! Office space, go and talk to them soon have an offer what the actual time was win battle. Can point to any number of software cost estimating treatises that show such uncertainty is common and realistic, communincation! From this website on getting good requirements first shareholders know what to expect will have. And how to ask for estimated time of completion good way of showing that there is a value that is and... The components win a battle with no clue about the enemy numbers important than the best experience our! From this website can not be made and the actual values to subscribe this! P - O ) / 6 ] ^2 a shared office space go... To this RSS feed, copy and paste this URL into your RSS reader to!, so we shouldnt have to refer to destinations or travel work? time - as long as the is! Take some time off feel safe if they are in a shared space... I respond to him estimating, which I 'd always been terrible at how you... Not accept whenever as a result, I could tell early on if I was glad to experience... Many soldiers are needed to win a how to ask for estimated time of completion with no clue about the you!